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Paper No. (7)

The Future of Global Climate Change Scientific, Political, and economic dimensions

This paper discusses the scientific, economic and political dimensions of the Climatic Change phenomenon, in light of America's decision to withdraw from the implementation of the items in the Quito Agreement for the reduction of carbon gas emission by the year 2012. This paper analyzes Climatic Change, its scientific basis, and the series of international agreements that aim to control this phenomenon. It also discusses the reason for the failure of the signing parties, at the Hague Conference, to reach a consensus on the "Climatic Change Agreement", and the major differences between the stance of the European Union and that of the USA on this issue. The paper also touched upon the most important results emanating from the Report of the Joint Government Organization on Climatic Change that was issued in February 2001, and the most important impact of these changes on the Middle East Region.

This paper found significant differences between the industrial countries themselves, and between them and other developing countries, in terms of the implementation of International Commitments regarding the reduction of carbon gas emissions. It also portrays the opinion of environmentalists and of the governments who strive to protect the environment, although not many of the Industrial or Developing countries have the courage or the inclination to implement new legislation or standards that affect their economic growth, thus leaving this complex issue pending until a solution, that is satisfactory to all, is found. This is very difficult and is not likely to occur in the near future, particularly now that the USA has declined its leading role in activating the implementation of the necessary strategies and techniques that deal with the problem of climatic change.

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